Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.140581 0.159804 0.181068 0.206399 0.235834 0.269056 0.309531
2026-02-01 0.108844 0.134144 0.164825 0.205051 0.256810 0.321717 0.410138
2026-02-08 0.089736 0.117197 0.152794 0.202896 0.272516 0.367209 0.508122
2026-02-15 0.076624 0.104721 0.143111 0.200303 0.284917 0.408013 0.605389
2026-02-22 0.069004 0.098081 0.139666 0.204803 0.306715 0.464296 0.734964
2026-03-01 0.061126 0.089765 0.132322 0.201867 0.316014 0.502096 0.841690
2026-03-08 0.055489 0.083936 0.127708 0.202086 0.329730 0.548433 0.971344
2026-03-15 0.050720 0.078797 0.123387 0.201904 0.342310 0.594306 1.109001
2026-03-22 0.047549 0.075790 0.122027 0.206322 0.363272 0.658239 1.294775
2026-03-29 0.044532 0.072666 0.120036 0.209217 0.381649 0.720112 1.489950
2026-04-05 0.041811 0.069730 0.117984 0.211619 0.399260 0.783229 1.702250
2026-04-12 0.039747 0.067707 0.117279 0.216369 0.422097 0.860941 1.966846
2026-04-19 0.037232 0.064682 0.114517 0.216943 0.436831 0.924843 2.217341
2026-04-26 0.034857 0.061691 0.111518 0.216684 0.449836 0.987568 2.482994
2026-05-03 0.032515 0.058537 0.107870 0.214596 0.458431 1.041560 2.740475
2026-05-10 0.030344 0.055508 0.104153 0.211869 0.465099 1.092075 3.002868
2026-05-17 0.029164 0.054293 0.103919 0.216673 0.490306 1.194696 3.453952
2026-05-24 0.027311 0.051577 0.100350 0.213544 0.495599 1.245737 3.758135
2026-05-31 0.025934 0.049703 0.098354 0.213778 0.509430 1.323158 4.176768
2026-06-07 0.024634 0.047879 0.096285 0.213584 0.522136 1.400142 4.621418
2026-06-14 0.023835 0.047033 0.096253 0.218294 0.548794 1.524435 5.288716
2026-06-21 0.022962 0.045953 0.095599 0.221381 0.571522 1.642016 5.977951
2026-06-28 0.022108 0.044846 0.094776 0.223943 0.593236 1.761632 6.726995